Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock, J1 League

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
J1 League
?LDLWW
Fagiano Okayama
21.10.2026
11:00
?LWLWL
Mito Hollyhock
MPWDLGPts
11.Fagiano Okayama1041512:1513
14.Mito Hollyhock1023512:149
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Mito Hollyhock: Little data · matches: 4
Expected goals (model)1.25 : 1.32
History45%23%33%
Model35%27%39%
Days of rest: 3.2Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 25.10.26
Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

Fagiano Okayama40%History 45%Model 35%
Draw25%History 23%Model 27%
Mito Hollyhock36%History 33%Model 39%
Over 1.576%History 80%Model 73%
Over 2.551%History 55%Model 48%
Over 3.524%History 23%Model 26%
Both teams to score55%History 57%Model 52%
1st half Over 0.563%History 57%Model 68%
Corners Over 9.532%History 30%Model 34%
Cards Over 3.545%History 45%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

J1 League 26/27 in numbers

Matches played100/380
Goals per match2.92
Home wins44%
Draws21%
Away wins35%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams scored56%
Corner kicks9.3