Emmanuel Lions vs Southern Wesleyan (W), NCAA II Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
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NCAA II Women
?LWLDD
Emmanuel Lions
21.10.2026
21:30
?WWLLL
Southern Wesleyan (W)
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)2.1 : 2.8
History50%10%40%
Model29%18%53%
Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26
Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Emmanuel Lions40%History 50%Model 29%
Draw14%History 10%Model 18%
Southern Wesleyan (W)47%History 40%Model 53%
Over 1.588%History 80%Model 96%
Over 2.583%History 80%Model 87%
Over 3.566%History 60%Model 72%
Both teams to score61%History 40%Model 82%
1st half Over 0.588%History 90%Model 86%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA II Women 2026 in numbers

Matches played1875/2241
Goals per match2.89
Home wins46%
Draws19%
Away wins35%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams scored39%
1st half goals per match1.30