Emerson Lions vs Worcester Polytech Engineers prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

?WWWLW

Emerson Lions

21.10.2026

23:00

?WWLDL

Worcester Polytech Engineers

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
5.	Worcester Polytech Engineers	6	3	2	1	11:7	11
6.	Emerson Lions	6	3	0	3	10:12	9

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.2 : 2.3

History30%10%60%

Model19%19%62%

Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Emerson Lions24%History 30%Model 19%

Draw15%History 10%Model 19%

Worcester Polytech Engineers61%History 60%Model 62%

Over 1.578%History 70%Model 86%

Over 2.564%History 60%Model 68%

Over 3.543%History 40%Model 46%

Both teams to score61%History 60%Model 63%

1st half Over 0.573%History 70%Model 75%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2150/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins45%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.67

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Emerson Lions vs Worcester Polytech Engineers, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?