Elmira Soaring Eagles vs Alfred Saxons prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Elmira Soaring Eagles

22.10.2026

00:00

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Alfred Saxons

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
7.	Elmira Soaring Eagles	9	3	1	5	14:14	10
10.	Alfred Saxons	9	1	2	6	4:12	5

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.33 : 1.3

History53%10%37%

Model60%19%20%

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Elmira Soaring Eagles57%History 53%Model 60%

Draw15%History 10%Model 19%

Alfred Saxons29%History 37%Model 20%

Over 1.580%History 73%Model 88%

Over 2.568%History 66%Model 70%

Over 3.554%History 59%Model 49%

Both teams to score52%History 39%Model 66%

1st half Over 0.583%History 83%Model 82%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2150/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins45%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.67

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Elmira Soaring Eagles vs Alfred Saxons, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?