Durham (W) vs Birmingham (W) prediction and pre-match statistics, FA Women's League Cup

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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FA Women's League Cup

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Durham (W)

21.10.2026

19:00

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Birmingham (W)

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
9.	Birmingham (W)	2	0	0	2	3:6	0
10.	Durham (W)	1	0	0	1	1:5	0

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Durham (W): Little data · matches: 1
Birmingham (W): Little data · matches: 1

Expected goals (model)1.5 : 2.5

History50%0%50%

Model22%19%59%

Days of rest: 3.2Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 25.10.26

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

Durham (W)36%History 50%Model 22%

Draw9%History 0%Model 19%

Birmingham (W)55%History 50%Model 59%

Over 1.595%History 100%Model 91%

Over 2.563%History 50%Model 76%

Over 3.553%History 50%Model 57%

Both teams to score61%History 50%Model 71%

1st half Over 0.589%History 100%Model 78%

Corners Over 9.558%History 50%Model 66%

Cards Over 3.50%History 0%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

FA Women's League Cup 26/27 in numbers

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Matches played21/69

Goals per match3.33

Home wins43%

Draws24%

Away wins33%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Both teams scored48%

Corner kicks10.4

Key probabilities?

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FA Women's League Cup 26/27 in numbers

Durham (W) vs Birmingham (W), FA Women's League Cup

Key probabilities?