Defensores de Belgrano vs CA San Miguel, Primera Nacional

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Primera Nacional
?DLDLW
Defensores de Belgrano
24.10.2026
21:00
?LDLLD
CA San Miguel
MPWDLGPts
13.Defensores de Belgrano348141225:3238
18.CA San Miguel346141427:4132
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)1.08 : 0.85
History32%50%18%
Model41%31%28%
Days of rest: 5.1Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 31.10.26
Days of rest: 7.1Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

Defensores de Belgrano36%History 32%Model 41%
Draw41%History 50%Model 31%
CA San Miguel23%History 18%Model 28%
Over 1.564%History 71%Model 58%
Over 2.532%History 32%Model 31%
Over 3.510%History 6%Model 13%
Both teams to score43%History 47%Model 38%
1st half Over 0.557%History 59%Model 56%
Corners Over 9.546%History 47%Model 44%
Cards Over 3.565%History 65%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Primera Nacional 2026 in numbers

Matches played611/649
Goals per match1.95
Home wins47%
Draws32%
Away wins21%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Both teams scored40%
Corner kicks8.6