Cortland Red Dragons vs Morrisville Mustangs prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Cortland Red Dragons

21.10.2026

21:00

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Morrisville Mustangs

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
1.	Cortland Red Dragons	6	6	0	0	19:2	18
11.	Morrisville Mustangs	6	0	2	4	6:18	2

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Morrisville Mustangs: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)2.48 : 1.05

History65%25%10%

Model69%17%14%

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Cortland Red Dragons67%History 65%Model 69%

Draw21%History 25%Model 17%

Morrisville Mustangs12%History 10%Model 14%

Over 1.583%History 80%Model 87%

Over 2.568%History 68%Model 68%

Over 3.547%History 48%Model 47%

Both teams to score59%History 57%Model 60%

1st half Over 0.577%History 78%Model 77%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2145/2812

Goals per match3.27

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Cortland Red Dragons vs Morrisville Mustangs, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?