Civitavecchia vs Real San Basilio 1960, Coppa Italia Eccellenza Lazio

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
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Coppa Italia Eccellenza Lazio
?WWWWW
Civitavecchia
21.10.2026
14:30
?DWDWL
Real San Basilio 1960
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Civitavecchia: Little data · matches: 1
Real San Basilio 1960: Little data · matches: 1
Expected goals (model)3 : 1
History50%50%0%
Model78%13%9%
Days of rest: 3Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 25.10.26
Days of rest: 3.2Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

Civitavecchia64%History 50%Model 78%
Draw32%History 50%Model 13%
Real San Basilio 19605%History 0%Model 9%
Over 1.595%History 100%Model 91%
Over 2.588%History 100%Model 76%
Over 3.578%History 100%Model 57%
Both teams to score55%History 50%Model 60%
1st half Over 0.593%History 100%Model 86%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Coppa Italia Eccellenza Lazio 26/27 in numbers

Matches played36/52
Goals per match2.69
Home wins42%
Draws28%
Away wins31%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams scored39%
1st half goals per match1.03