Chapecoense vs Fluminense prediction and pre-match statistics, Campeonato Brasileiro Série A

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A

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Chapecoense

24.10.2026

23:30

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Fluminense

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
5.	Fluminense	31	14	9	8	49:39	51
20.	Chapecoense	30	3	9	18	30:62	18

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.45 : 1.84

History27%38%35%

Model30%23%47%

Days of rest: 7.1Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 28.10.26

Days of rest: 6.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 28.10.26

Key probabilities?

Chapecoense29%History 27%Model 30%

Draw30%History 38%Model 23%

Fluminense41%History 35%Model 47%

Over 1.585%History 86%Model 84%

Over 2.560%History 56%Model 64%

Over 3.543%History 45%Model 42%

Both teams to score68%History 72%Model 64%

1st half Over 0.579%History 80%Model 78%

Corners Over 9.558%History 62%Model 55%

Cards Over 3.562%History 62%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2026 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played309/379

Goals per match2.66

Home wins47%

Draws28%

Away wins25%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Both teams scored59%

Corner kicks10.5

Key probabilities?

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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2026 in numbers

Chapecoense vs Fluminense, Campeonato Brasileiro Série A

Key probabilities?