CF San Bartolome vs UD Playas de Sotavento prediction and pre-match statistics, Tercera Federación, Group 12

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Tercera Federación, Group 12

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CF San Bartolome

21.10.2026

16:00

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UD Playas de Sotavento

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
10.	CF San Bartolome	6	2	3	1	11:10	9
18.	UD Playas de Sotavento	6	0	2	4	4:19	2

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

CF San Bartolome: Little data · matches: 3
UD Playas de Sotavento: Little data · matches: 3

Expected goals (model)3.17 : 1.5

History50%33%17%

Model70%15%15%

Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

CF San Bartolome60%History 50%Model 70%

Draw24%History 33%Model 15%

UD Playas de Sotavento16%History 17%Model 15%

Over 1.597%History 100%Model 95%

Over 2.576%History 67%Model 84%

Over 3.568%History 67%Model 68%

Both teams to score79%History 83%Model 74%

1st half Over 0.593%History 100%Model 86%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Tercera Federación, Group 12 26/27 in numbers

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Matches played54/306

Goals per match3.04

Home wins52%

Draws28%

Away wins20%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Both teams scored57%

Corner kicks9.3

Key probabilities?

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Tercera Federación, Group 12 26/27 in numbers

CF San Bartolome vs UD Playas de Sotavento, Tercera Federación, Group 12

Key probabilities?