Cedar Crest Falcons vs Penn State Harrisburg Lions prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Cedar Crest Falcons

21.10.2026

22:00

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Penn State Harrisburg Lions

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
1.	Penn State Harrisburg Lions	6	6	0	0	24:1	18
9.	Cedar Crest Falcons	7	2	0	5	13:23	6

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.23 : 2.4

History46%0%54%

Model38%19%43%

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 5Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Cedar Crest Falcons42%History 46%Model 38%

Draw10%History 0%Model 19%

Penn State Harrisburg Lions48%History 54%Model 43%

Over 1.597%History 100%Model 95%

Over 2.577%History 70%Model 84%

Over 3.569%History 70%Model 68%

Both teams to score56%History 31%Model 81%

1st half Over 0.592%History 93%Model 92%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2150/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins45%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.67

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Cedar Crest Falcons vs Penn State Harrisburg Lions, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?