CD Quintana vs Castuera, Tercera Federación, Group 14

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Tercera Federación, Group 14
?LDWDL
CD Quintana
21.10.2026
19:00
?LWWWL
Castuera
MPWDLGPts
5.Castuera640214:512
14.CD Quintana61232:65
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
CD Quintana: Little data · matches: 2
Castuera: Little data · matches: 3
Expected goals (model)0.83 : 0.75
History33%25%42%
Model35%35%30%
Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 25.10.26
Days of rest: 3.3Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

CD Quintana34%History 33%Model 35%
Draw30%History 25%Model 35%
Castuera36%History 42%Model 30%
Over 1.549%History 50%Model 47%
Over 2.527%History 33%Model 21%
Over 3.54%History 0%Model 8%
Both teams to score32%History 33%Model 30%
1st half Over 0.573%History 75%Model 71%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Tercera Federación, Group 14 26/27 in numbers

Matches played59/306
Goals per match2.61
Home wins44%
Draws25%
Away wins31%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams scored51%
1st half goals per match1.08