Castro CV Lagonegro vs SC Paternicum, Eccellenza Basilicata

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Eccellenza Basilicata
?LDLDD
Castro CV Lagonegro
25.10.2026
13:30
?WLDWL
SC Paternicum
MPWDLGPts
7.SC Paternicum522110:48
14.Castro CV Lagonegro50232:102
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Castro CV Lagonegro: Little data · matches: 3
SC Paternicum: Little data · matches: 3
Expected goals (model)1.17 : 2.33
History17%50%33%
Model18%19%63%
Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2
Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2

Key probabilities?

Castro CV Lagonegro17%History 17%Model 18%
Draw34%History 50%Model 19%
SC Paternicum48%History 33%Model 63%
Over 1.593%History 100%Model 86%
Over 2.559%History 50%Model 68%
Over 3.540%History 33%Model 46%
Both teams to score64%History 67%Model 62%
1st half Over 0.5–History –Model –
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Eccellenza Basilicata 26/27 in numbers

Matches played56/64
Goals per match2.93
Home wins43%
Draws29%
Away wins29%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams scored52%