Castleton Spartans vs Middlebury Panthers prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Castleton Spartans

21.10.2026

23:00

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Middlebury Panthers

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
233.	Castleton Spartans	8	3	0	5	12:21	9
238.	Middlebury Panthers	4	2	2	0	5:1	8

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Middlebury Panthers: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)0.79 : 2.08

History21%0%79%

Model13%20%67%

Days of rest: 3.2Matches in 14 days: 5Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Castleton Spartans17%History 21%Model 13%

Draw10%History 0%Model 20%

Middlebury Panthers73%History 79%Model 67%

Over 1.568%History 58%Model 78%

Over 2.546%History 38%Model 55%

Over 3.535%History 38%Model 32%

Both teams to score43%History 38%Model 48%

1st half Over 0.588%History 100%Model 76%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2150/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins45%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.67

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Castleton Spartans vs Middlebury Panthers, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?