Carlow Celtics vs Hilbert College Hawks prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Carlow Celtics

21.10.2026

22:00

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Hilbert College Hawks

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
6.	Hilbert College Hawks	4	0	1	3	4:11	1
8.	Carlow Celtics	4	0	0	4	2:26	0

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Carlow Celtics: Little data · matches: 3
Hilbert College Hawks: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)1.83 : 3.04

History38%13%50%

Model22%16%62%

Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Carlow Celtics30%History 38%Model 22%

Draw14%History 13%Model 16%

Hilbert College Hawks56%History 50%Model 62%

Over 1.598%History 100%Model 96%

Over 2.593%History 100%Model 86%

Over 3.571%History 71%Model 72%

Both teams to score61%History 42%Model 80%

1st half Over 0.596%History 100%Model 91%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2145/2812

Goals per match3.27

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

Key probabilities?

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Carlow Celtics vs Hilbert College Hawks, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?