Carleton Knights vs Macalester Scots prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Carleton Knights

21.10.2026

22:00

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Macalester Scots

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
4.	Carleton Knights	7	5	0	2	15:8	15
7.	Macalester Scots	7	3	1	3	9:7	10

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.47 : 1.25

History41%27%31%

Model42%26%32%

Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Carleton Knights42%History 41%Model 42%

Draw26%History 27%Model 26%

Macalester Scots32%History 31%Model 32%

Over 1.571%History 66%Model 76%

Over 2.545%History 39%Model 51%

Over 3.525%History 21%Model 29%

Both teams to score48%History 41%Model 55%

1st half Over 0.570%History 73%Model 66%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2145/2812

Goals per match3.27

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Carleton Knights vs Macalester Scots, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?