Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs UC Riverside prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA

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Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

21.10.2026

18:30

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UC Riverside

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.26 : 0.83

History45%24%31%

Model46%29%25%

Days of rest: 3.6Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners46%History 45%Model 46%

Draw26%History 24%Model 29%

UC Riverside28%History 31%Model 25%

Over 1.564%History 67%Model 62%

Over 2.537%History 38%Model 35%

Over 3.515%History 14%Model 16%

Both teams to score43%History 45%Model 41%

1st half Over 0.558%History 52%Model 63%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA 2026 in numbers

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Matches played1433/1761

Goals per match3.03

Home wins50%

Draws22%

Away wins28%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored54%

1st half goals per match1.25

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NCAA 2026 in numbers

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs UC Riverside, NCAA

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