Burnley (W) vs Aston Villa (W), FA Women's League Cup

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
FA Women's League Cup
?WLDLL
Burnley (W)
21.10.2026
19:00
?WDWLW
Aston Villa (W)
MPWDLGPts
2.Aston Villa (W)22005:16
5.Burnley (W)00000:00
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Burnley (W): Little data · matches: 1
Aston Villa (W): Little data · matches: 1
Expected goals (model)1.5 : 2
History50%0%50%
Model29%22%49%
Days of rest: 3.2Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 25.10.26
Days of rest: 3.2Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

Burnley (W)40%History 50%Model 29%
Draw11%History 0%Model 22%
Aston Villa (W)50%History 50%Model 49%
Over 1.593%History 100%Model 86%
Over 2.559%History 50%Model 68%
Over 3.548%History 50%Model 46%
Both teams to score59%History 50%Model 67%
1st half Over 0.557%History 50%Model 63%
Corners Over 9.546%History 50%Model 41%
Cards Over 3.50%History 0%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

FA Women's League Cup 26/27 in numbers

Matches played21/69
Goals per match3.33
Home wins43%
Draws24%
Away wins33%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams scored48%
Corner kicks10.4