Bayern Munich vs Arsenal prediction and pre-match statistics, UEFA Champions League

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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UEFA Champions League

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Bayern Munich

21.10.2026

20:00

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Arsenal

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
8.	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	6
12.	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	8:3	4

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Bayern Munich: Little data · matches: 1
Arsenal: Little data · matches: 1

Expected goals (model)2.5 : 0.5

History50%0%50%

Model81%13%5%

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 25.10.26

Days of rest: 3.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Bayern Munich66%History 50%Model 81%

Draw7%History 0%Model 13%

Arsenal28%History 50%Model 5%

Over 1.565%History 50%Model 80%

Over 2.554%History 50%Model 58%

Over 3.543%History 50%Model 35%

Both teams to score18%History 0%Model 36%

1st half Over 0.50%History 0%Model 0%

Corners Over 9.511%History 0%Model 22%

Cards Over 3.50%History 0%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

UEFA Champions League 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played135/234

Goals per match3.24

Home wins52%

Draws21%

Away wins27%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Both teams scored56%

Corner kicks9.7

Key probabilities?

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UEFA Champions League 26/27 in numbers

Bayern Munich vs Arsenal, UEFA Champions League

Key probabilities?