Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth, Cymru South

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Cymru South
?WDWLD
Baglan Dragons
24.10.2026
14:30
?WLWDW
Aberystwyth
MPWDLGPts
3.Aberystwyth961222:919
5.Baglan Dragons1152412:1217
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Aberystwyth: Little data · matches: 3
Expected goals (model)1.42 : 2.58
History17%8%75%
Model20%18%63%
Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 30.10.26
Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

Baglan Dragons18%History 17%Model 20%
Draw13%History 8%Model 18%
Aberystwyth69%History 75%Model 63%
Over 1.591%History 92%Model 91%
Over 2.580%History 83%Model 76%
Over 3.558%History 58%Model 57%
Both teams to score77%History 83%Model 70%
1st half Over 0.581%History 83%Model 79%
Corners Over 9.548%History 46%Model 51%
Cards Over 3.571%History 71%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Cymru South 26/27 in numbers

Matches played77/238
Goals per match3.52
Home wins38%
Draws23%
Away wins39%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams scored65%
Corner kicks9.4