AS Manu-Ura vs AS Tefana, Ligue 1 Vini

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
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Ligue 1 Vini
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AS Manu-Ura
21.10.2026
06:30
?DWWWW
AS Tefana
MPWDLGPts
7.AS Tefana32108:210
16.AS Manu-Ura40042:413
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
AS Manu-Ura: Little data · matches: 3
AS Tefana: Little data · matches: 1
Expected goals (model)0.34 : 6.33
History0%50%50%
Model0%1%99%
Days of rest: 3.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 30.10.26
Days of rest: 3.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

AS Manu-Ura0%History 0%Model 0%
Draw25%History 50%Model 1%
AS Tefana75%History 50%Model 99%
Over 1.575%History 50%Model 99%
Over 2.573%History 50%Model 96%
Over 3.562%History 33%Model 90%
Both teams to score23%History 17%Model 28%
1st half Over 0.5–History –Model –
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Ligue 1 Vini 2026 in numbers

Matches played33/121
Goals per match6.61
Home wins21%
Draws27%
Away wins52%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Both teams scored39%
1st half goals per match3.63