Alfred Saxons vs Elmira Soaring Eagles prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Alfred Saxons

22.10.2026

00:00

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Elmira Soaring Eagles

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
3.	Alfred Saxons	9	5	2	2	16:9	17
8.	Elmira Soaring Eagles	9	3	1	5	13:16	10

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.1 : 1.1

History70%10%20%

Model60%21%19%

Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Alfred Saxons65%History 70%Model 60%

Draw15%History 10%Model 21%

Elmira Soaring Eagles20%History 20%Model 19%

Over 1.586%History 90%Model 83%

Over 2.561%History 60%Model 62%

Over 3.540%History 40%Model 40%

Both teams to score64%History 70%Model 59%

1st half Over 0.586%History 90%Model 82%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2145/2812

Goals per match3.27

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Alfred Saxons vs Elmira Soaring Eagles, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?