Albertus Magnus Falcons vs Mitchell Mariners prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Albertus Magnus Falcons

22.10.2026

00:00

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Mitchell Mariners

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
2.	Albertus Magnus Falcons	9	6	2	1	21:12	20
12.	Mitchell Mariners	9	1	2	6	6:18	5

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)3.3 : 1.1

History80%20%0%

Model79%12%9%

Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Albertus Magnus Falcons80%History 80%Model 79%

Draw16%History 20%Model 12%

Mitchell Mariners4%History 0%Model 9%

Over 1.592%History 90%Model 93%

Over 2.576%History 70%Model 81%

Over 3.562%History 60%Model 64%

Both teams to score62%History 60%Model 64%

1st half Over 0.589%History 90%Model 88%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2145/2812

Goals per match3.27

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Albertus Magnus Falcons vs Mitchell Mariners, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?