AD Mercedarias KE vs ADC Abetxuko prediction and pre-match statistics, División de Honor Álava

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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División de Honor Álava

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AD Mercedarias KE

25.10.2026

11:00

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ADC Abetxuko

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
13.	ADC Abetxuko	4	1	0	3	4:11	3
16.	AD Mercedarias KE	4	0	1	3	2:13	1

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

AD Mercedarias KE: Little data · matches: 2
ADC Abetxuko: Little data · matches: 2

Expected goals (model)2.5 : 2

History50%25%25%

Model50%19%31%

Days of rest: 7.9Matches in 14 days: 1

Days of rest: 7.8Matches in 14 days: 1

Key probabilities?

AD Mercedarias KE50%History 50%Model 50%

Draw22%History 25%Model 19%

ADC Abetxuko28%History 25%Model 31%

Over 1.584%History 75%Model 94%

Over 2.579%History 75%Model 83%

Over 3.570%History 75%Model 66%

Both teams to score52%History 25%Model 79%

1st half Over 0.573%History 75%Model 71%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

División de Honor Álava 26/27 in numbers

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Matches played32/40

Goals per match3.63

Home wins44%

Draws34%

Away wins22%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Both teams scored66%

1st half goals per match1.44

Key probabilities?

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División de Honor Álava 26/27 in numbers

AD Mercedarias KE vs ADC Abetxuko, División de Honor Álava

Key probabilities?