AD Llerenense vs Santa Amalia, Tercera Federación, Group 14

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Tercera Federación, Group 14
?WWDWW
AD Llerenense
21.10.2026
17:00
?DLDDW
Santa Amalia
MPWDLGPts
3.AD Llerenense65107:216
13.Santa Amalia61416:57
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
AD Llerenense: Little data · matches: 3
Santa Amalia: Little data · matches: 2
Expected goals (model)0.67 : 0.17
History50%50%0%
Model43%49%8%
Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 25.10.26
Days of rest: 3.2Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

AD Llerenense47%History 50%Model 43%
Draw49%History 50%Model 49%
Santa Amalia4%History 0%Model 8%
Over 1.518%History 17%Model 20%
Over 2.511%History 17%Model 5%
Over 3.51%History 0%Model 1%
Both teams to score12%History 17%Model 7%
1st half Over 0.516%History 17%Model 15%
Corners Over 9.57%History 0%Model 15%
Cards Over 3.575%History 75%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Tercera Federación, Group 14 26/27 in numbers

Matches played59/306
Goals per match2.61
Home wins44%
Draws25%
Away wins31%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams scored51%
1st half goals per match1.08